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Cincinnati, OH Retail Market Report Q3 2026

City skyline of Cincinnati, retail, Q3, 2026 market report blog image

Rents Set a New High at $17.81/SF as Vacancy Falls to 4.1%

Demand

Cincinnati absorbed 273K SF in Q3 2026, against 57K SF in the same quarter last year. Vacancy is 4.1%, 131 bps tighter than Q3 2025. Northern Kentucky-East is the tightest submarket at 0.0% vacancy; Airport/Northern Kentucky leads rent growth at +6.8%. Trailing-12-month absorption of 753K SF compares with -268K SF a year earlier. Asking rent of $17.81/SF is up 6.2% year over year and a record. Vacancy sits 205 bps below the Q2 2021 peak of 6.2%.

Supply

Cincinnati delivered 114K SF in Q3 and 496K SF over the trailing twelve months (-23% versus the prior TTM period). Space under construction equals 0.7% of inventory, concentrated in Northern Kentucky-South at 5.3% of its stock. Annual deliveries peaked at 2.49M SF in 2007. The 997K SF pipeline equals about five and a half quarters of absorption at the trailing pace.

Investment Market

Cincinnati recorded $0.6B in sales over the trailing twelve months, +14% against the prior TTM period; Q3 accounted for $109M. The high-water mark in this series is $1.0B in 2007.

Cincinnati cap rates average 7.97%, down for 9 straight quarters. Pricing sits at $144/SF, higher for 8 consecutive years. Price per SF is at a record.

Volume

  • $0.6B TTM volume (+14% YoY)
  • Q3 2026: $109M
  • Series peak $0.7B (2024)

Pricing

  • Cap rate 7.97%
  • Price per SF $144
  • Caps compressing 9 quarters running

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