Industrial Market Report | Q3 2022
The Naples market employment growth and the region’s gross domestic product should outpace the national average over the next three years, barring a significant economic slowdown. The metro population, which is currently around 375,000, is also expected to increase more quickly than most over the same period.
Tourism drives much of the Naples metropolitan area’s economy, with leisure and hospitality composing almost 20% of the workforce. When lumped in with retail trade, Naples has nearly 35% of its entire workforce in these sectors, the third-highest proportion in Florida. Furthermore, Naples is one of the older markets in the nation, reflecting its status as a premier retiree destination. This skews demand for senior housing, assisted living, and medical office space much higher than a typical U.S. market. The older demographic drives up the region’s affluence and median incomes, both of which are among the highest in Florida.
Vacancy & Rent Fundamentals
During the third quarter of 2022, industrial rents in Naples’s Market were increasing at a 12.5% annual rate and have risen 7.5% on average over the previous three years. Vacancies in the metro were slightly lower than the 10-year average as of Q2 22, and they trended somewhat downward over the previous four quarters. Employment in the metro was up 4.5% annually, or a gain of about 6,900 jobs. Although a positive result, job creation has fallen to its weakest level in the last twelve months, and at one point registered as high as 6.2%.
The Naples market had an unusually large transaction volume over the past 12 months with a total of 110 deals traded. Annual sales volume has averaged $80.2 million over the past five
years, and the 12-month high in investment volume hit $164 million over that stretch. In the past 12 months specifically, $115 million worth of industrial assets were sold. Logistics facilities
drove recent sales volume, accounting for $68.8 million in confirmed transactions.
The market price, which is derived from the price movement of all industrial properties in the market regardless of the sector, now sits at $162/SF. That price has soared since last year, rising by more than 10%, and that price comes in above the country’s average. The market cap rate has dropped since last year.
It is the lowest cap rate that has been seen in Naples during the past five years, but it’s still higher than the country’s average yield.
New construction developments have added to the 330,000 square feet that has been delivered over the past three years. Currently, there is 940,000 SF currently underway for Naples metro area. The two submarkets with under construction inventory include Outlying Collier County, adding a multi-tenant warehouse at 937,000 square feet with expected completion by March 2023. Another 7,800 square feet warehouse at 2447A Pine St in East Naples also began construction in May 2021 and will complete development in October 2022.